Open Final Round Odds: Who Is Favorite For The Claret Jug?

Xander Schauffele is favorite to overhaul Billy Horschel and the rest of the chasing pack to claim the Claret Jug

Xander Schauffele, Billy Horschel, Scottie Scheffler and Justin Rose hitting shots at The Open
A total of 12 men are within four strokes of the lead heading into the final round
(Image credit: Getty Images)

The last day of the 2024 Open is poised to be a classic, with 12 players within four strokes of the lead.

Billy Horschel takes a slender one stroke advantage into the final round, but he is not the favorite with bookmakers.

It's PGA Champion Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler who oddsmakers like the most, with Schauffele heading into Sunday's final 18 holes as favorite for the Claret Jug, just ahead of World No.1 Scheffler.

Schauffele goes into Sunday at three-under, just one back of Horschel, with Scheffler two back. Both are clear favorites with Schauffele at 3/1 and Scheffler 7/2.

Overnight leader Billy Horschel enters the final round as third-favorite at 11/2, with Horschel's underwhelming Major record surely a factor. The 37-year-old has eight PGA Tour wins but only has two top-10s on his Major record and has never finished inside the top-20 at The Open.

Justin Rose goes into the last round as tied-fourth favorite, with the Englishman trailing Horschel by only one stroke. The Englishman brings plenty of experience to the table and has a Major win himself, coming at the 2013 US Open.

Rose is at 8/1 alongside Sam Burns, who is also one back at three-under-par. Burns played in the easier conditions on Saturday morning, where he shot a stunning 65 to vault himself up the leaderboard.

Russell Henley is also three-under and he can be backed at 9/1, with the next players significantly less likely to win according to the bookmakers.

Thriston Lawrence is 14/1 despite playing in the final group, ahead of Daniel Brown and Shane Lowry at 20s.

So, who will win The Open? Nobody knows. The weather is set to be challenging but not as brutal as Saturday and one thing is for sure, it's going to be entertaining.

Open final round odds:

  • Xander Schauffele: 3/1 (+300)
  • Scottie Scheffler: 7/2 (+350)
  • Billy Horschel: 11/2 (+550)
  • Justin Rose: 8/1 (+800)
  • Sam Burns: 8/1 (+800)
  • Russell Henley: 9/1 (+900)
  • Thriston Lawrence: 14/1 (+1400)
  • Daniel Brown: 20/1 (+2000)
  • Shane Lowry: 20/1 (+2000)
  • Adam Scott: 40/1 (+4000)
  • Justin Thomas: 40/1 (+4000)

*Odds via various bookmakers as per Oddschecker

Elliott Heath
News Editor

Elliott Heath is our News Editor and has been with Golf Monthly since early 2016 after graduating with a degree in Sports Journalism. He manages the Golf Monthly news team as well as our large Facebook, Twitter and Instagram pages. He covered the 2022 Masters from Augusta National as well as five Open Championships on-site including the 150th at St Andrews. His first Open was in 2017 at Royal Birkdale, when he walked inside the ropes with Jordan Spieth during the Texan's memorable Claret Jug triumph. He has played 35 of our Top 100 golf courses, with his favourites being both Sunningdales, Woodhall Spa, Western Gailes, Old Head and Turnberry. He has been obsessed with the sport since the age of 8 and currently plays off of a six handicap. His golfing highlights are making albatross on the 9th hole on the Hotchkin Course at Woodhall Spa, shooting an under-par round, playing in the Aramco Team Series on the Ladies European Tour and making his one and only hole-in-one at the age of 15 - a long time ago now!

Elliott is currently playing:

Driver: Titleist TSR4

3 wood: Titleist TSi2

Hybrids: Titleist 816 H1

Irons: Mizuno MP5 5-PW

Wedges: Cleveland RTX ZipCore 50, 54, 58

Putter: Odyssey White Hot OG #5

Ball: Srixon Z Star XV