2023 Valspar Championship Final-Round Odds and Live Picks
The Valspar Championship is still wide open heading into the final round! Trent Pruitt breaks down the live odds entering Sunday and provides his top two bets.
It’s been tough sledding all weekend at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club, seeing the leader, Adam Schenk, sit at just eight under heading into Sunday’s action. The American turned in a one-under outing on Saturday, giving him a one-stroke lead over Jordan Spieth and Tommy Fleetwood.
Spieth is currently the betting favorite to secure the come-from-behind win, sitting at +280. Fleetwood is behind him at +360 after the duo each shot two under in the third round.
As for the biggest mover, that belongs to Patton Kizzire, who went from -1 to -5 with a four-under Saturday round, he’s currently tied for seventh, along with Wyndham Clark and Matt Wallace.
It’s anyone’s tournament heading into Sunday as the leaderboard sees nine golfers sitting within three strokes of one another at the top. Let’s dive into my top two bets for the finale at Innisbrook.
VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP PICK
Jordan Spieth To Win Outright (+280 via DraftKings) Bet $100 to collect $380. You can get the best odds for this pick at DraftKings
While it’s the chalky pick to make at this point, I think it’s the right one. I’m taking Jordan Spieth to erase the one-stroke deficit and secure his first win of the year on Sunday.
For starters, the 29-year-old has been playing great recently. Spieth turned in a T6 (-11) at the WM Phoenix Open in February and followed that up with a T4 (-7) at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March. The American added another top 20 finish last weekend, placing T19 (-6) at THE PLAYERS across the state in Ponte Vedra Beach.
Get the Golf Monthly Newsletter
Subscribe to the Golf Monthly newsletter to stay up to date with all the latest tour news, equipment news, reviews, head-to-heads and buyer’s guides from our team of experienced experts.
Furthermore, Spieth has an excellent history at the Copperhead Course, where he won the Valspar Championship in 2015, fending off Sean O’Hair and Patrick Reed in a playoff. The next year, it wasn’t quite as impressive, but Spieth collected a top 20 finish at T18, courtesy of an even performance.
All things considered, I think this is a great opportunity for Spieth to get off the schneid and secure a win.
Davis Riley Top 10 Finish (+125 via DraftKings) Bet $100 to collect $225. You can get the best odds for this pick at DraftKings
Aside from an outright winner, I like the plus-money payout with Davis Riley to finish inside the top 10 at Innisbrook. He’s currently sitting at 10th on the leaderboard (-4), shooting 69-68-72 through the first three rounds.
As for his recent history, the 26-year-old missed the cut at The PLAYERS last weekend but finished T8 at the Arnold Palmer (-6) and T29 at the Honda Classic (-3) just prior. For a golfer ranked 67th in the world, I feel the top 30 finishes are a sign that things are turning in the right direction.
Finally, it’s worth noting that Riley placed second last year at the Valspar Championship, losing in a playoff to Sam Burns. With a lack of true stars lingering atop the leaderboard, I expect Riley to rise to the challenge and finish inside the top 10.
VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS – LIVE ODDS ENTERING SUNDAY
Golfer | Odds |
Jordan Spieth | +280 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +360 |
Adam Schenk | +400 |
Taylor Moore | +900 |
Webb Simpson | +1200 |
Wyndham Clark | +1400 |
Cody Gribble | +2200 |
Matt Wallace | +2800 |
Patton Kizzire | +3000 |
Davis Riley | +3500 |
Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan ever since he could walk. He played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University and still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days engulfed in sports betting analysis. Trent fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been a part of the sports betting industry for 10+ years now.
-
Which Players Secured A DP World Tour Card At The 2024 Challenge Tour Grand Final?
The Challenge Tour Grand Final threw up drama yet again, as 22 players secured their playing rights and cards to the DP World Tour next season
By Matt Cradock Published
-
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen: 10 Things You Didn't Know About The DP World Tour Golfer
Neergaard-Petersen is one of the big names emerging in European golf and, in this piece, we list some facts you may not know about the Dane
By Matt Cradock Published
-
Patrick Reed Among Three LIV Golfers Invited To Iconic DP World Tour Event
Reed has been included in the field for the Open de Espana at Club de Campo Villa de Madrid later this season
By Jonny Leighfield Published
-
Wyndham Championship Prize Money Payout 2024
Jordan Spieth is one of the biggest names in the field as players jostle for position ahead of the FedEx Cup Playoffs
By Mike Hall Published
-
'The World Ranking Is Not A Reflection Of Where I Should Be' - Patrick Reed Critical Of OWGR Ahead Of Major Streak Ending
The LIV golfer has not missed a Major since 2013, but that run will come to a conclusion at the US Open next week - a fact the American believes could have been avoided
By Jonny Leighfield Published
-
Bryson DeChambeau Ninth Favorite At Pinehurst As PGA Champion Xander Schauffele Trails Rory McIlroy In Early US Open Odds
The bookmakers have released their odds for the next men's Major championship - the US Open - and there are a few eyebrow-raising situations at hand
By Jonny Leighfield Published
-
Jordan Spieth: Men’s Pro Golf Could Be ‘The Best That It’s Ever Been’
Jordan Spieth says men's pro golf could emerge in the best state ever after issuing another positive update on the PGA Tour-PIF talks
By Paul Higham Published
-
Patrick Reed’s Impressive Major Run Set To End At 124th US Open
The 2018 Masters champion has played in every men's Major since 2014 - but that record is set to come to an end at Pinehurst No.2 in June
By Jonny Leighfield Published
-
Surprising Pro Surges To Second Behind Rory McIlroy In Most Popular PGA Championship Bets 2024
Despite having not yet won a Major, one name has moved past multiple champions like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka in terms of total bet share for the PGA Championship
By Jonny Leighfield Published
-
16-Year-Old Blades Brown Shares Personal Jordan Spieth Story And His Surprise Dream Autograph As Successful PGA Tour Debut Continues
Brown revealed he met Spieth during a practice round at The Masters a few years ago and the three-time Major winner made him 'feel like a friend'
By Jonny Leighfield Published